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What's the future for Flash devs now that Adobe has turned its back on Flash Player for mobile devices and has shifted focus to HTML 5? Will Flash for the desktop survive or will it die out too? Adobe has pledged to enable Flash devs to package native apps with Adobe AIR for all the major mobile app stores, but it won't develop Flash Player for new mobile device technology after version 11.1 for Android and the BlackBerry PlayBook is released. However, source code licensees will be able to work on and release their own implementations, raising the specter of fragmentation.
Our group started dropping Flash back in 2002 and will not do sites with it. And since, clients that had Flash or that we did before our embargo, all within a year or two had us pull all Flash content from their sites and go back to the basics. Flash will probably go Open Source, just as Freehand had to since Adobe abandoned it. Looks like that campaign is going good. Seriously.
HTML5 was touted to be a stronger and better tool for this. Now we get to see for real. And I think that browsers will be able to accommodate it long before 2015. Firefox has been talking HTML5 for quite some time. At least they were looking to the future.